We are on the verge of passing the midpoint of the season, so it’s time for our red hot Week 9 NFL picks from the vast pool of exciting games. By now you should know that How To Bet is specialized in finding the hidden value in the matchups in terms of the best odds available on the market. Our experts thrive in combining advanced data analysis with their innate hunch for the game and the result of that is their optimized NFL Week 9 predictions. Plus, and you may not believe it, they are totally free of charge!
So there’s no reason at all not to go with our NFL Picks. Forget about wasting precious hours doing your own research for each game. Don’t look around for the most attractive odds. Stop staying glued to the screen waiting for some breaking news that could potentially endanger your bet. Instead, take just a couple of minutes to read our experts’ free predictions and put a wager. The vast knowledge and experience of our team, combined with a completely unbiased and professional method, will make sure that you benefit from the NFL Week 9 best bets.
Check also the odds movement and the complete schedule of games with detailed forecasts on this page. Let’s get straight to winning!
Monday Night Football schedule has been brutal so far in 2021 and Week 9 won’t be different. The 3-5 Bears visit the 4-3 Steelers to officially mark the midseason point. Pittsburgh is on a three-game winning streak but still owns a negative point differential. While the Bears are a real mess offensively and the return of head coach Matt Nagy will only make things worse.
Nagy missed last week’s loss to the 49ers after being diagnosed with COVID. In his absence QB Justin Fields ran for 103 yards but you can throw out of the window this stat with Nagy’s conservative approach. Coincidentally stopping the run is what Steelers’ defense does best because, after all, it has to deal with Lamar Jackson twice a year. The unit is ranked fifth in DVOA and looking from this angle the NFL Week 9 predictions seem obvious.
The Bears are expected to be without their two best defensive players. LB Khalil Mack (foot) and CD Eddie Jackson (hamstring) haven’t practiced at all as is LB Alec Ogletree. Without their top LBs the Bears were carved up last Sunday by the Niners who ran for 145 yards in just 26 attempts (5.6 YPC). Najee Harris is probably drooling waiting for Monday night.
For some weird reason Steelers HC Mike Tomlin has never beaten the Bears. With a 0-3 career record it’s time for his first win against the Monsters of Midway. With back-to-back home games against Chicago and Detroit it’s the perfect opportunity for the Steelers to make a move in probably the most unpredictable AFC division.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Steelers -6 (-110)
A week ago this would’ve been a must-see TV: The Irresistible Force vs. The Immovable Object. Derrick Henry vs. the best defensive unit in the league. But Titans’ RB was placed on IR after breaking a bone in the foot and the NFL Week 9 predictions got a little bit easier, it seems.
And Henry is just the tip of the iceberg of the Titans’ injury crisis. Backup CBs Chris Jackson and Greg Mabin are dealing with ankle problems. Starting tackle Taylor Lewan popped on the injury report on Thursday with a knee ailment. In all, more than half a dozen starters are questionable or worse for Sunday.
On the other side QB Matt Stafford was a non-participant in all Rams’ practices this week (he declared that he’ll play on Sunday for what it’s worth) as was WR Robert Woods. CB Jalen Ramsey was limited with a knee injury and the newcomer Von Miller is battling a twisted ankle and his status is up in the air.
In Henry’s absence Titans’ running game will be limited to Jeremy McNichols (246 career rushing yards, seven attempts this season) and rookie Tory Carter who is yet to appear in a game. FB Khari Blasingame is in concussion protocol and whether he clears it by Sunday is anybody’s guess.
Cardinals’ loss against the Packers opened the door to the NFC West title. Rams have two straight primetime appearances before their bye week. They can’t afford any slip ups against a team that needs to figure out his new identity. The line dropped to -7 so feel free to back the Rams in NFL Week 9 picks against the spread.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Rams -7 (-110)
It’s one of the strangest games in this week’s schedule. Packers were riding high after the 24:21 win over the Cardinals when the news broke that QB Aaron Rodgers has tested positive for COVID-19. And because he is unvaccinated, he will not only miss the trip to KC but maybe the home game against the Seahawks as well.
But first thing first. QB Jordan Love, who threw seven passes against New Orleans in Week 1, will make his first career start. Selected 26th in last year’s draft, the former Utah State signal caller will have the chance to make the case for being the starter in 2022. Unfortunately for the Packers they are so thin at QB that they signed Blake Bortles as an emergency option, giving him a couple of days to learn as much of the playbook as he can.
The line opened at KC -2.5, went down to Pick ‘Em after Chiefs’ dreadful performance against the Giants on Monday and jumped by a score after Rodgers’ test. It’s understandable that the public money went on KC but it’s worth noting that GB beat the Cardinals on the ground. The Packers ran for 151 yards and threw for 184 and Love is a perfect fit for this plan. Moreover, he’s facing the second-worst in terms of DVOA defense in the league.
The Chiefs have been among the worst ATS teams in 2021. They’ve covered only just once this season and it was against WFT. The league has caught up to QB Patrick Mahomes and the Packers, despite missing a number of key figures, are ranked fourth in defensive DVOA. If you decide to include this game in your Week 9 NFL picks – bet on the Packers.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Packers +7.5 (-115)
There’s only one division with three teams with winning records and it’s the AFC North. Bengals were knocked off the top spot a week ago after a humiliating 34:31 loss against the Jets. At the same time Browns’ season took a turn for the worse after WR Jarvis Landry dropped passes in key moments in the 15:10 loss at home to the Steelers.
The last couple of days Cleveland was a center stage of the “OBJ against the world” drama. Browns’ wideout wasn’t traded, his father went on a rant on Twitter about lack of targets and the last two days Beckham was absent from practice while his agent discussed the terms of his eventual release.
On the injury front, the Browns will be sweating about DE Jadeveon Clowney’s status and two-fifths of their OL is on the injury report. While the Bengals are as healthy as they’ve never been this season.
In his injury-shortened rookie season QB Joe Burrow threw for 722 yards with 7 TDs vs. 1 INT for a 100.2 rating against the Browns. The former #1 pick had his down to Earth moment last week when the Bengals fell in the trap. Just before the bye week it’s time to clean up their game and right the ship towards the playoffs. It is not the most obvious NFL Week 9 picks but I’ll back the Bengals.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Bengals Money Line (-133)
Many call this the Toilet Bowl. Two 1-7 teams against each other. One of them is winless at home, the other – winless on the road. And why would one choose this for NFL Week 9 predictions? Two words: Tyrod Taylor.
Texans were 1-0 and leading away from home against the Browns when Texans’ QB suffered a hamstring injury. Without him the team went 0-7 and dropped to 32nd on offense in the league. But Taylor is now healthy and on Thursday was officially announced as a starter.
At the same time Dolphins’ QB Tua Tagovailoa is dealing with a finger injury in addition to the chronic ribs’ ailments. He already missed a couple of games and is winless in six starts in 2021. Alongside Tagovailoa, WR DeVante Parker is doubtful with shoulder and hamstring injuries. In addition S Brandon Jones (ankle) and LB Jerome Baker (knee) haven’t practiced at all this week.
These two teams are bad. Really bad teams. But at least there aren’t any grumblings from the Texans’ locker room while Dolphins HC Brian Flores is on the hot seat. The line opened at -7 and dropped by a point-and-a-half. But still, for a 1-7 team 5.5 points is too much of a trust.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Texans +5.5 (-108)
One of the teams is reeling after a blown 14-points lead and two late interceptions cost a chance to close the gap to AFC South leaders Tennessee Titans. The other is basking in glory after a career backup became just the second QB ever to throw for 400+ yards in his first professional start. The season continues with the Colts at home to the Jets on Thursday Night Football and we’re off with our Week 9 NFL picks.
On Sunday the Colts were in a strong position to beat the Titans. But QB Carson Wentz inexplicable left-handed pass with 93 seconds to go in regulation and an INT midway through the overtime led to the 34-31 loss. Now all the momentum after two straight wins is gone. At 3-5 the Colts are 1.5 games out of the AFC playoffs but with four teams ahead of them and games against Buffalo, Tampa Bay, New England and Arizona still to come it will be an uphill battle.
The Jets got their second win of the season (and strangely, once again versus a playoff team), beating the Bengals 34-31 with backup QB Mike White throwing for 405 yards despite not having a completion longer than 20 yards. The former Western Kentucky gunslinger also became the first Jets QB with a 400-yards passing game since the turn of the century! And now they have a QB controversy with rookie Zach Wilson still sidelined with a knee injury and veteran Joe Flacco, for whom they traded a week ago, still learning the system!
The Jets put only one significant name on their initial injury report. RT George Fant is questionable after suffering an ankle injury in Sunday’s win. WR Corey Davis is still missing but he was sidelined against the Bengals as well and his absence wasn’t felt.
The Colts, however, placed DL Tyquan Lewis on the IR with a knee injury. G Quenton Nelson, who already had a stint on the IR, is dealing with a fresh toe injury. And WR T.Y. Hilton is in concussion protocol, which, given the short time before the next game, almost certainly rules him out.
The Colts won two of the last three against the Jets, including a 36-7 drubbing in September of 2020. Back then it was Phillip Rivers at QB. Carson Wentz is too erratic and it showed last Sunday. They should win but I will back the Jets as interesting NFL Week 9 picks against the spread.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Jets +10.5 (-110)
NFL expert picks are special betting predictions made by people with a particularly high level of knowledge and experience in uncovering the best bets in the league. Choose this kind of prediction and you’ll get detailed suggestions on how to bet on selected games that give you the biggest winning chance.
Going for these selected NFL expert picks Week 9 offers you is an approach that becomes more and more popular. Yes, you could decide to trust your own judgment and in this case, you will be fully responsible for both winning and losing. But there’s a reason why many bettors consider expert picks to be the art form of NFL betting and prefer them. Multiple reasons actually. Here are the most important ones, so take note.
After deciding to go with the special selection of NFL Week 9 predictions by experts, your next job is to know and understand the specifics of the betting markets. The three most popular among football betting aficionados are:
They all are available at every online sportsbook, so let's have a look at each one in order to explain how they work. This will help you be 100% ready to explore the NFL best bets for Week 9.
The straight up or moneyline betting market is probably the simplest to understand. Here you will be offered odds about both of the teams involved in a NFL game and your only job is to bet on the team that you think will win. If your prediction is correct, your bet is a winning one and it will be settled at the odds you took. In short, when you see our NFL Week 9 picks straight up, you should be able to bet on them easily. Check the following example:
So if you fancy Cleveland to win the NFL game against the favorite Cincinnati, you could bet on the Browns at odds of +130. A stake of $100 would therefore give you a profit of $130 if they succeed. On the other hand, you have to bet $150 on Cincinnati and the Bengals have to win the game for your profit to be $100. This is as straightforward an example as you would find. Now you should be ready to take advantage of our NFL Week 9 picks straight up.
People look for NFL Week 9 picks against the spread because the odds for the two teams in a particular game can be quite different. By trying to even them up, all sportsbooks offer point spread markets that impose an artificial handicap on the favorite team. The spreads give the underdog team an equal and opposing advantage, and consequently, the odds available tend to be much more balanced. That’s why picks against the spread are in such demand. See this example:
Here you see Chicago being given an advantage of +6.5 points, while Pittsburgh has a handicap of -6.5 points. If you put a bet on Pittsburgh, the Steelers will need to win by 7 points or more for you to succeed. Bet on Chicago and that wager will only lose if the Bears lose by 7 points or more. With these conditions in place, the sportsbook is able to offer even odds for both teams.
When you are using expert predictions, you will surely be given NFL Week 9 picks against the spread. Just wager on the named team in the point spread market and you’ll have your winning bet served on a plate if the pick is correct.
The over/under betting is the third main betting market for Week 9 NFL Picks. Here you only have one job: to predict whether the total number of points scored in the game by both teams combined will be Over or Under a total figure quoted by the sportsbook. Logically, that’s why this is also known as the Totals market. See the following example to understand the concept better:
|Denver Broncos @ Dallas Cowboys||Over 49.5/Under 49.5||-110/-110|
The over/under betting is just as simple as moneyline betting, especially if you have access to free NFL expert picks for Week 9 to help guide you. In this type of wagering all you have to do is decide whether you think there will be over or under 49.5 points scored in the game by both teams combined. If you go for Over, there would need to be 50 points or more for your wager to succeed. Go for Under and there would need to be 49 points or fewer for your bet to win. Check out our NFL Week 9 predictions, find the best over/under bets available and put a wager.
Check out the success rate of the NFL predictions provided by our experts and see what lies ahead in the future.
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These are the expert’s betting choices for a NFL game and are based on hours and hours of research. You can either choose to follow these predictions or trust your own judgement.
There are many places where you can find NFL expert picks for Week 9. Not all experts are equal though, and most will charge you money to receive their picks. The Week 9 NFL Picks here at How To Bet are provided by some of the best specialists we’ve found in our extensive search. And the icing on the cake is that these picks are completely free of charge.
In order to benefit from the NFL best bets Week 9 can offer, you need to do lots of research. You must check stats, injury lists, coach changes and anything that could affect the game. Most of all, you need to be able to analyse this information properly and also to read the game before all the action unfolds.
You can also follow expert NFL picks from Week 1 all the way to the Super Bowl. And it’s completely free of charge here at How To Bet!
ESPN and CBS are regarded as the top of the pops for NFL picks among the big media outlets. But don’t hesitate to check How To Bet’s picks too. We have a great winning percentage that equals and many times even betters the success rates of the most popular experts.
Our Week 9 NFL picks are expert predictions based on solid data and analysis, but they are still only predictions. There is no guarantee that NFL picks from any source will win, and form upsets can occur at any point during the season. The only guarantee is that the expert picks have a much higher chance of winning because of the amount of work, knowledge, experience and advanced data access these specialists have. So always obey the golden rule of betting and never bet more than you can afford to lose in a worst-case scenario.
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