Thanksgiving Day is here and that means one thing: more of the Thursday Night Football special menu and more of our Week 12 NFL picks are coming your way! So be ready for added excitement and extra portions of winning bets with How To Bet’s free expert tips. As you know by now, they are based on analysing advanced data, exploring relevant trends, and taking into account the latest and most important team news in order to forecast matchups. It’s all topped off with their innate hunch for the game and figuring out each team’s motivation for the ending part of the season. This is the guaranteed recipe for success with our selected NFL Week 12 predictions, and it’s free!
Go with our NFL Picks and stop wasting precious hours doing your own research for each game and looking around for the most appealing odds. Unglue yourself from the screen, stuck there while waiting for any breaking news that could potentially endanger your bet. Forget the fear that loyalty towards your team will blur your vision. Just a couple of minutes for reading our experts’ free predictions and placing a wager is all you need. They’ve already done the job for you and unearthed the hidden value on the odds market, offering you the NFL Week 12 best bets on a plate.
On this page you will also see the odds movement and the complete schedule of games with some quick picks after the selected ones. Let’s get straight to winning with a traditional feast of successful predictions delivered to you by How To Bet!
The NFL Week12 predictions are polarized. Many see this game as a springboard for Seattle. But as of today they do not have a healthy RB with Rashaad Penny (hamstring) and Travis Homer (calf) missing two practices in a row and Alex Collins (abdomen) limited the whole week. Tackles Jamarco Jones (back) and Brandon Shell (shoulder) and guard Damien Lewis (elbow) have not practiced at all this week as has CB Tre Brown (knee). And CB D.J. Reed, who missed last week’s loss to the Cardinals has been limited. In other words, the picture is grim. Seattle can’t defend the pass (25th in DVOA) and that’s one area where WFT excels (13th on offense) lately as QB Taylor Heinicke threw for 462 yards, 4 TDs and no INTs the last two weeks.
MNF is getting worse with every passing week. After the highly uneventful Bucs – Giants game, Week 12 will mark a new low. Two teams with seven combined wins in search of a late season spark will square off to close the month of November. And to probably signal the end of an era.
Pete Carroll took over as a Seahawks head coach in 2010 and his first two teams were bad. But since Russell Wilson came to the league in 2012 Seattle has not had a losing season and missed the playoffs only once. Unless barring a miracle in the form of a 6-1 run or better, a sub-.500 finish is guaranteed. And, eventually, it will be the end for both Carroll and Wilson in The Emerald City.
Wilson suffered a damaged ligament in his throwing hand in Week 5 against the Rams. He missed just three games and was rushed back to save the season after the bye week. But the results have been awful. Seattle lost 0-17 to Green Bay and 13-23 to Kyle Murray-less Cardinals with Wilson being 34-of-66 combined for 368 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs. With no ground game support Dangeruss Wilson turned into an ordinary QB on his way out of town.
WFT were on a four-game losing streak going into the bye but came off with back-to-back victories against Tampa Bay and Carolina. At 4-6 they’re just outside of NFC Wild Card places and although, with a trip to Las Vegas and five consecutive NFC East games to close the season, a late push is very doubtful they at least can give their fans some meaningful December football for a second year in a row.
Seattle is so bad that NBC flexed out of prime time their home game next week against San Francisco. They started as 2.5 points favorites but the line quickly went in WFT favor. This season is unpredictable but I suggest riding the hot hand in NFL Week 12 picks.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: WFT Money Line (-106)
Playing behind the backup Tyler Huntley the Ravens not only won in Chicago but themselves on top of the AFC playoff standings with a 7-3 record. QB Lamar Jackson was scratched hours before the visit to The Windy City with an illness but has since recovered and is ready to embark on a vital seven-game stretch against teams with winning records.
After the bye week Baltimore is playing uninspired and undisciplined football. They needed OT to stave off the Vikings, laid an enormous egg losing on TNF to the Dolphins and needing a last-minute TD from Devonta Freeman to beat the Bears.
For a month and a half the Browns are alternating wins and losses and are currently bottom of the AFC North despite the 6-5 record. Cleveland is coming off an ugly 13-10 win against Detroit. A week earlier they were trounced 45-7 by New England in a game they gave up 45 straight points. Part of their struggles can be attributed to the COVID outbreak which hit their running back corpses but this should no longer be the case on Sunday.
Baltimore’s defense is really banged up. They have four cornerbacks on the injury report, DE Calais Campbell is in concussion protocol and DT Brandon Williams is suffering from a shoulder injury. Because of this I’m leaning towards the over on this game. Cleveland is just 17th against the run while this is what the Ravens do the best (6th in DVOA).
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Over 47 (-110)
The AFC West is a very strange division. All four teams were on top at some point and none of them is having a losing record entering the final week of November. This is about to change as the 5-5 Broncos are looking like a team that has quit both on head coach Vic Fangio and QB Teddy Bridgewater.
Denver is just outside AFC Wild Cards but the remaining schedule is simply brutal: five divisional games plus a home game against Cincinnati. According to DVOA they have an overachieving season (5-5 with 4.4 estimated wins) and neither their offense (15th) nor the defense (26th) is turning heads. While the Chargers at least are humming offensively.
They gained 533 yards against the Steelers last Sunday night on a way to a 41-37 victory. But the story of the day was their running defense. The Chargers limited one of the leading rushers in the NFL, Najee Harris, to 39 yards on 12 carries. DVOA still ranks them last against the run but they are quickly gaining ground.
56 weeks ago the Broncos won a thriller at Mile High, beating LA 31-30. But this season the Chargers are 30-1 away from home. You should feel confident with this in your NFL Week 12 picks straight up.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Chargers Money Line (-139)
Rams lost two in a row and their situation got a little precarious. At 7-3 they are fifth in the NFC standings and 1.5 games off the first place in the NFC West. But the way they played just before the bye week was troubling. LA mustered 16 points against the Titans and just 10 against the Niners. And so far the trade deadline splash is bringing no rewards.
DE Von Miller was a non-factor against San Francisco with two tackles and an assist. WR Odell Beckham Jr. finished with two receptions for 18 yards. And their ground game produced 52 yards, leaving WR Cooper Kupp as the only viable threat.
Green Bay was knocked off the top of the NFC standings after a last-second 34-31 loss to the Vikings. QB Aaron Rodgers continues to confuse everybody with his COVID controversy, this time with a toe ailment that he vehemently denies has anything to do with the disease. According to medical experts the so-called “COVID toe” can be a lingering issue that takes up to a month to be resolved.
Packers will be without their top two offensive linemen. And this is projected to be the coldest NFL game of the season so far with a 35-degree temperature. For a West Coast team this is a big obstacle. The under started at 50 but is going down rapidly. This is as trendy as NFL Week 12 picks can be.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Under 47.5
Believe it or not, the Eagles are a legitimate NFC contender that has been raging hot since the beginning of the month. Philadelphia is 3-1 since Halloween with a simple recipe for success: run the ball all the time. And facing one of the worst defenses against the run they should be licking their chops.
The Eagles shifted their focus on offense towards running the ball. Until then they were trying to become an explosive boom or bust team. The Eagles ran 46 times in the 44-6 win over Detroit, 39 times in the 27-24 last second loss against the Chargers and 39 times last week in the dominant 30-13 victory in Denver. A week ago they dismantled one of the best teams against the run, New Orleans, carrying the ball 50 times for 242 yards and 3 TDs. Yes, Jordan Howard was lost to injury but Miles Sanders, Jalen Hurts and Boston Scott are all available.
NY made headlines on Tuesday firing OC Jason Garrett after the abysmal performance on MNF. The Giants gained a measly 215 yards in the 30-10 loss to Tampa Bay where QB Daniel Jones registered 4.4 YPA. With two wide receivers and two tight ends on the injury report, who will Jones throw the ball to on Sunday?
The Eagles have won eight of the past nine against G-Men. With the easiest schedule among all NFC playoff contenders (only one game against a team with a winning record left) Philadelphia is among the best NFL Week 12 predictions.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Eagles Money Line (-182)
A couple of weeks ago this would’ve been a hot as hell matchup. But as of today, both teams look like pretenders, not contenders. They both crapped the bed in spectacular fashion on Sunday and are fading like tropical flowers in a long cold winter.
The Bills were knocked off the top of the AFC East standings after the humiliating 41-15 loss at home to the Colts. Forced by the early deficit Buffalo put the ball in QB Josh Allen’s hands and he didn’t deliver – 21 of 35 for 209 yards, two TDs, and two INTs. The Bills strayed too far from their identity throwing on 40 plays compared to just 13 runs and it showed.
The Saints have a QB problem as well. Since Jameis Winston went down with a knee injury on the last day of October, NO is 0-3 with Trevor Siemian as a starter. On Sunday he threw 3 TDs and 2 INTs in the 40-29 loss to the Eagles in a game that wasn’t that close. The Saints were run over (50 rush attempts for 242 yards) and at 5-5 they are hanging on to the last NFC Playoffs Wild Card.
Unfortunately for them, they are tied in a knot with Siemian as Taysom Hill is a runner that can sometimes throw but not a real QB. Despite the new $40.000.000 contract. If Alvin Kamara is out again on Thursday (and the initial news is not encouraging) the Saints are basically doomed as the team is not the same without its only offensive weapon.
The Bills are favorites for a reason and I like their chances in NFL Week 12 picks against the spread. But I like the total as well. Buffalo has gone over 45 points twice in a row and in four of its last six games. While the Saints, despite Trevor Siemian, have done it twice in three games with him as a starter and in five of their last seven. Fireworks on Thanksgiving evening is what I hope for in my NFL Week 12 predictions.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Over 45.5 (-105)
For the third time in the last 13 seasons, Dallas chose to play at home to the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day. Basically said, since the last realignment every time the Cowboys are scheduled to play them, they schedule the game for the national audience for a sure victory. The previous two Thanksgiving games in Arlington finished 24-7 and 31-24. And this should be no different.
The Cowboys were on a five-game winning streak before their bye week but since cooled off. They lost 19-9 on Sunday away to the Chiefs to drop to 7-3. They are still leading the NFC East by 2.5 games and by Christmas may wrap the division title.
The Raiders are in a tailspin. There was a little spark after head coach Jon Gruden’s resignation as Las Vegas went into the bye week with two straight wins. But an 0-3 streak since then dropped them to 5-5 as they are tied with the Broncos for last place in the AFC West. And after their 32-13 loss to the Bengals on Sunday some pointed that Allegiant Stadium is the only place in Las Vegas where the house doesn’t win.
Dallas is in a WR crisis as CeeDee Lamb is in concussion protocol with very little time to clear it and Amari Cooper on the COVID-19 list and unavailable for Thursday. That should shift the focus on Michael Gallup, Cedrick Wilson and TE Dalton Schultz and on the ground game as well. The Cowboys struggled against the Chiefs gaining just 82 yards but Las Vegas is 23rd in defensive DVOA and Joe Mixon just trounced them for 123 yards. Cowboys have lost three of the last Thanksgiving games but expect nothing other than a win over the Raiders. The only concerning thing for me is the amount of money placed on them. The line exploded on Tuesday and jumped by almost two points but you can still find -7 odds.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Cowboys -7 (-139)
This will mark Detroit’s 92nd Thanksgiving appearance. They are 37-42-2 but have not won since 2016 when they squeaked by the Vikings 16-13 to extend the winning streak to four. Since then they lost to the Vikings, Texans and Bears (twice) and this will be their third Thanksgiving game against the NFC North rivals in the last four years.
In 2018 the Bears won 23-16. A year later QB Andy Dalton threw two second half TD bombs to Darnell Mooney and Marquise Goodwin to lead Chicago to a 24-20 win. Dalton is in line to start on Thursday as well after rookie Justin Fields suffered a rib injury over the weekend. The former TCU standout came off the bench and instantly threw a TD and finished 11-of-23 for 201 yards in the 16-13 loss to the Ravens.
It will be backup time for the Lions too as Jared Goff has an oblique injury. Detroit lost 10-13 with Tim Boyle posting a 15-of-23 for 77 yards and two INTs line. The play calling was ultra-conservative for a second week in a row with an emphasis on the running game where D’Andre Swift had a career day with 136 yards on 14 carries and a TD. On Monday Goff was listed as “limited” on the injury report but whether he plays on Thursday is anyone’s guess.
The Bears are in a much bigger limbo. Justin Fields is day to day, DL Akeem Hicks (ankle), DB Duke Shelley (hamstring), WR Allen Robinson II (hamstring) and RB Damien Williams (calf) all were estimated as non-participants on the initial injury report. Chicago is on a five-game losing streak and at 3-7 their playoff hopes are all but over. With Arizona, Green Bay and Minnesota (twice) still to come on their schedule head coach Matt Nagy is on the hot seat. There were chants “Fire Nagy” on Soldier Field over the weekend and a loss to the Lions may well be his last.
With Detroit’s methodical approach betting the under is not a bad idea. However, I feel uneasy with such a low total on an indoor game. I have a sneaky suspicion that this game represents Detroit’s last chance for a win this season. They play tough week after a week and I will back them in my NFL Week 12 picks.
Our Expert NFL Pick for This Game: Lions +3.5 (-110)
First things first, let’s clear up that NFL expert picks are selected betting predictions made by people with a particularly high level of knowledge and experience in uncovering the best bets in the league. Trust them and you’ll get perfectly reasonable suggestions on how to bet on carefully picked games that give you the highest chance of winning. Go this way and you will join the constantly growing number of people that follow the advice of these selected NFL expert picks Week 12 has on offer.
Of course, bettors who trust their own judgement have a strong case for doing so. They are fully responsible for both winning and losing, so there’s no one else to blame but themselves when failing. The reasons why the majority considers expert picks to be the art form of NFL betting and prefers them are multiple though. We’ll list the most important ones here.
In case you have decided in favor of following the experts’ advice with their special selection of NFL Week 12 predictions, your next job is to know and understand the specifics of the betting markets. Here is a shortlist of the three most popular among football betting enthusiasts:
All three will be offered to you by every online sportsbook, so let's have a look at each one and explain how they work. After that you’ll have a complete understanding of the matter and you’ll be 100% ready to explore the NFL Week 12 best bets.
The straight up or moneyline betting market is probably the simplest to understand. Here you will be offered odds about both of the teams involved in a NFL game and your only job is to wager on the team that you think will win. If your prediction is correct, your bet is a winning one and it will be settled at the odds you took. In short, when you see our NFL Week 12 picks straight up, you should be able to bet on them easily. Check the following example:
|Las Vegas Raiders||+245|
So let’s say you fancy Las Vegas to win the NFL game against the favorite Dallas. You could bet on the Raiders at odds of +245 and a stake of $100 would therefore give you a profit of $245 if they succeed. On the other hand, you have to wager $310 on Dallas and the Cowboys have to win the game for your profit to be $100. This is as straightforward an example as you would find and now you should be ready to take advantage of our NFL Week 12 picks straight up.
The reason why people look for NFL Week 12 picks against the spread is because the odds for the two teams in a particular game can be quite different. By trying to even them up, all sportsbooks offer point spread markets that impose an artificial handicap on the team in the role of the favorite. The spreads give the underdog team an equal and opposing advantage, and consequently the odds available tend to be much more balanced. Because of that, picks against the spread are in such demand. See this example:
|New England Patriots||-5.5||-110|
Here you see Tennessee being given an advantage of +5.5 points, while the favorite New England have a handicap of -5.5 points. If you place a wager on New England, the Patriots will need to win by 6 points or more for you to succeed. Bet on Tennessee and you will only lose if the Titans lose by 6 points or more. With these conditions in place, the sportsbook is able to offer even odds for both teams.
When turning to expert predictions, you will surely run across NFL Week 12 picks against the spread. Just wager on the named team in the point spread market and you’ll have your winning bet served on a plate if the pick is correct.
This is the third main betting market, so you will undoubtedly find many sources for NFL Week 12 over / under predictions. Here you only have one job: to predict whether the total number of points scored in the game by both teams combined will be Over or Under a total figure quoted by the sportsbook. Logically, that’s why this is also known as the Totals market. See the following example and you will get a grasp of the concept:
|Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers||Over 49.5/Under 49.5||-110/-110|
The good news is that over/under betting is just as simple as moneyline betting. (Especially if you have access to free NFL expert picks for Week 12 to help guide you through the process.) In our example, all you have to do is decide whether you think there will be over or under 49.5 points scored in the game by both teams combined. If you go for Over, there would need to be 50 points or more for your wager to succeed. Go for Under and there would need to be 49 points or fewer for your bet to win.
You got it now? If the answer is ‘yes’, check out our free expert picks above, find the best bets available for NFL Week 12 point totals and place a wager.
Check out the success rate of the NFL predictions provided by our experts and see what lies ahead in the future.
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These are the expert’s betting choices for a NFL game and are based on hours and hours of research. You can either choose to follow these predictions or trust your own judgement.
There are many places where you can find NFL expert picks for Week 12. Not all experts are equal though, and most will charge you money to receive their predictions. The Week 12 NFL picks here at How To Bet are provided by some of the best specialists we’ve found in our extensive search. And the icing on the cake is that you can benefit from them completely for free.
In order to benefit from the NFL Week 12 best bets on the market, you need to do lots of research. You must check stats, injury lists, coach changes, weather forecast, and anything else that could affect the game. Most of all, you need to be able to analyse this information properly and also to read the game before all the action unfolds.
You can also follow expert NFL picks from Week 1 all the way to the Super Bowl. And it’s totally free here at How To Bet!
ESPN and CBS are regarded as the top of the pops for NFL picks among the big media outlets. But don’t hesitate to check How To Bet’s picks too. We have a great winning percentage that equals and many times even betters the success rates of some of the most popular experts.
Our Week 12 NFL picks are expert predictions based on solid data and analysis, but they are still only predictions. There is no guarantee that NFL picks from any source will win, and form upsets can occur at any point during the season. The only guarantee is that the expert picks have a much higher chance of winning because of the amount of work, knowledge, experience and advanced data access these specialists have. So always obey the golden rule of betting and never wager more than you can afford to lose in a worst-case scenario.
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