Are you even a little bit surprised at all that the Houston Texans beat the Tennessee Titans last week?
Or that the Buffalo Bills got rolled at home by the Colts? How about those Minnesota Vikings, beating Green Bay?
It has gone well past ridiculous at this point trying to figure out the National Football League in 2021; we are now entering into the Twilight Zone.
How about this stat provided by Adam Schefter on his Twitter account:
With wins today from the Texans, Colts and Vikings, there now have been 11 wins since Week 9 from teams with a .500-or-below winning percentage against division leaders, the most such wins to occur during Weeks 9-11 of a single season since 1970.
Adam Schefter
We are in uncharted territory right now, and it might not stop anytime soon: if you look at the records for the teams in the AFC and NFC, all the teams are pretty much the same.
The AFC now has TEN TEAMS over .500 heading into Week 12, which has to be some kind of record, and another two teams at .500. Even the red-hot Dolphins are not out of the playoff picture at 4-7 (they are, but mathematics says otherwise: I use my brain though, and I am a genius).
How about the NFC? Ten teams have five wins or more, and another two have four wins.
Basically, every game from now on is going to be important, and we are entering into the final six weeks, which means DIVISION GAMES GALORE!!!!
It is going to be exciting to watch. But you are here because you want to bet and win, so keep reading; although at the rate that these favorites are losing, even a genius like me might not be able to be perfect. The good thing now is, you are going to get some decent value on money lines from these games the rest of the season, because the point spreads should be pretty close.
I think there is one very interesting thing about Week 12, and it is NOT the 30 teams playing, but the two on bye weeks. Both Arizona and Kansas City have off this week, and both of them would be my current picks to make the Super Bowl in February.
Here is a look at all the odds and games for NFL Week 12.
NFL Week 12 Odds
Here are your updated NFL Week 10 odds, all in one place. Check back daily to see updates.
NFL Week 12 (Opening (Lookahead) Spreads
- Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions +3
- Las Vegas Raiders +7 at Dallas Cowboys -7
- Buffalo Bills -4.5 at New Orleans Saints +4.5
- Tennessee Titans +2.5 at New England Patriots -2.5
- Philadelphia Eagles -3 at New York Giants +3
- New York Jets +3 at Houston Texans -3
- Pittsburgh Steelers +4 at Cincinnati Bengals -4
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 at Indianapolis Colts +3
- Carolina Panthers -1 at Miami Dolphins +1
- Atlanta Falcons (PK) at Jacksonville Jaguars (PK)
- Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 at Denver Broncos +2.5
- Minnesota Vikings +2.5 at San Francisco 49ers -2.5
- Los Angeles Rams +1.5 at Green Bay Packers -1.5
- Cleveland Browns +5.5 at Baltimore Ravens -5.5
- Seattle Seahawks -3.5 at Washington Football Team +3.5
NFL Week 12 Schedule
Thursday, Nov. 25
Chicago Bears (3-7) at Detroit Lions (0-9-1), 12:30 p.m. EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
Oh, those lovable losers, the Detroit Lions. They always find a way to fall short (even when they don’t lose), but they have played very well at times on either side of the ball.
All I can say is, I think a win is coming very soon for this team, and it could be in this spot on Turkey Day. With Chicago banged up, and Matt Nagy seemingly out the door, Detroit could find a way to pull this out for once.
Read more about this in our Thursday Night Football Best Odds & Bets guide.
Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3), 8:20 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
Both of these teams come into this contest beat up and banged up, and really could have done with a few more days of rest. But they will each get 10 days off after this Thursday contest, which could be a huge boost to the team that comes away from this with the victory.
Dallas will not want to get dragged back into a race in the NFC East, but with so many injured players on offense, maybe they will try to see if they can steal one here, and rest up for the stretch run.
Read more about this in our Thursday Night Football Best Odds & Bets guide.
Buffalo Bills (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-5), 8:20 p.m. EDT (NBC and fubo.TV)
It is getting harder and harder to figure out the Buffalo Bills, although I might have an idea why they have been struggling.
Maybe they aren’t that good? Maybe last season was a bit of a fluke, and this team is regressing back towards the mean? The Saints are just banged up right now, but if Alvin Kamara is back in the fold, he may run roughshod; remember, Kamara just watched Jonathan Taylor run for 185 yards and five TDs. Kamara once ran for six in a game, and might be trying to get back on the field to see if he can break that record.
Read more about this in our Thursday Night Football Best Odds & Bets guide.
Sunday, Nov. 28
Tennessee Titans (8-3) at New England Patriots (7-4), 1 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
I honestly can’t take you seriously as a team if you lose to a squad trying its best to be in the discussion for the top pick in the draft. Like seriously, the Texans? And not only losing to the Texans, but getting blown out: don’t let the final scoreline fool you, Tennessee was down 19-0.
Now, the Titans have to travel to face white-hot New England, which has won five in a row and six of seven, to take over first place in the AFC East. Bill Belichick really might be the best coach ever. The Pats have given up just 13 total points in the last three wins, and are shooting up the futures odds.
Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) at New York Giants (3-7), 1 p.m. EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
Fly, Eagles Fly, to the NFC playoffs? Well, that might not be the craziest thing that happens in 2021. This team had a over/under total of 6.5 wins before the season, and I was adamant that they would be an over by more than a game. If they win this game here and get to .500, with the Jets, Washington, the Giants, and Washington in their next four, the Eagles might soar into the playoffs.
The Giants have shown some life of late, but it looks like they are one of a few teams in the NFC out of the playoff race right now. But this is a rivalry game, and anything can happen in those.
New York Jets (2-8) at Houston Texans (2-8), 1 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
The battle for the number two pick, although the Jets would probably blow it again, so maybe it is better they win this game. But the Texans come into the game off a massive performance, and have some momentum.
But momentum doesn’t mean anything anymore, because it is 2021. But the Jets had a bye, so maybe they are rested. But the Texans have more letters in their nickname, so maybe they are the team here.
I hate to say a game is unbettable (is that even a word?), but this is honestly about as close to that as I would ever get: even the Lions Bears game has the Thanksgiving angle.
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4), 1 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
There are some very big games on the docket this week, and this is another of the good battles, of course made better by the rivalry. Every time you want to write this young Cincinnati team off, it shows up and pulls out a huge performance to suck you back in, and they really need this game: after the Steelers, Cincy plays the Chargers, 49ers, Ravens, Chiefs, and Browns, who are all fighting for playoff spots.
Pittsburgh almost pulled off a massive comeback on Sunday night, taking the lead from 17 down but falling 41-37 to the Chargers. That was costly, because the Steelers also have a brutal schedule down the stretch. Is this a pre-playoff contest? Maybe.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3) at Indianapolis Colts (6-5), 1 p.m. EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
From week to week, it is tough to know which Tampa Bay team is going to show up. If the Bucs could just get healthy down the stretch, they might be able to make a run at back-to-back titles. They looked good on Monday night, but will have to take it up a notch against a much better for here.
What can I say about the Colts, other than the fact that I had them on the money line last week so (LET’S GOOOOOOOOOOO). Jonathan Taylor is a beast (NEW JERSEY REPRESENT), and is running right into the middle of the MVP race. This is a very dangerous team that is getting hot at the right time.
Carolina Panthers (5-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-7), 1 p.m. EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
Who can figure out the Panthers? One week they look like clear playoff favorites against Arizona, then the next they are letting the Football Team run all over them in a bad loss. One thing is for certain: if Carolina does not stop the run, it does not win: they have allowed over 160 yards per game in the six losses.
Miami has not necessarily been great running the ball, but the Dolphins are winning of late, and have the pressure off; if they can win here and get to 5-7, anything is possible.
Atlanta Falcons (4-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8),1 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
The game on the board that looks to be the toughest to call (it was a pick to start the week) because you have no idea what to expect from either. After a big win over the Saints, Atlanta has been ATROCIOUS for two weeks, getting outscored 68-3. The crazy thing is, if the Falcons win here, they will be 5-6, and right in the middle of the playoff race.
Jacksonville has a tough schedule down the stretch, and might not get too many more chances to pick up wins. This is one of them, though, and the Jags have been good of late other than the second quarter Sunday.
Los Angeles Chargers (6-4) at Denver Broncos (5-5), 4:05 p.m. EDT (CBS and fubo.TV)
What would the narrative have been if the Chargers blew that 27-10 advantage Sunday night? Justin Herbert can’t play on both sides of the ball (or can he?), so he will have to keep slinging it and hoping his defense can get a stop.
Denver comes in off a much needed bye week, and have the Chiefs and Chargers twice down the stretch. The Broncos HAVE to win at home to be in this playoff race, but I don’t know if they can here.
Minnesota Vikings (5-5) at San Francisco 49ers (5-5), 4:25 p.m EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
When I looked at this game a few weeks ago, it was an afterthought. But now, it is basically a playoff game: one of these teams is going to get to 6-5, and into the midst of a crazy six-week sprint to the finish line.
Minnesota pulls out these wins that they used to lose early in the season, but the close games (nine of 10 games have been a TD or less, with six four points or less) are going to bite them at some point; well, they already have, but bite them again. San Fran is all of a sudden hot, and trending towards the playoffs with a manageable schedule down the stretch. But this one would be huge, especially at home.
Los Angeles Rams (7-3) at Green Bay Packers (8-3), 4:25 p.m. EDT (FOX and fubo.TV)
The Rams come off of a bye week (and two terrible losses), while the Packers have a banged up Aaron Rodgers trying to make it to the bye week on a bad toe.
This is a huge game at the top of the NFC playoff picture. If the Rams can win, they will stay at most a game in the loss column behind the Cardinals. It is the same for Green Bay. I think this bye week might have fixed a few issues for the Rams, so look for them to come out hot.
Cleveland Browns (6-5) at Baltimore Ravens (7-3), 8:20 p.m. EDT (NBC and fubo.TV)
What a massive game this is in the AFC North, and the AFC playoff race.
If Baltimore can win at home under the lights, it would put the Ravens in a very good place to win the division. At worst, it gives them a cushion, depending on the other results Sunday. Lamar Jackson should play, but check the injury report.
This is it for the Browns. It might be it for Baker Mayfield: if he continues to struggle, will the Browns look to go in another direction? If Jackson plays, I would back the Ravens.
Read more about this game in our Sunday Night Football Odds & Best Bets guide.
Monday, Nov. 29
Seattle Seahawks (3-7) at Washington Football Team (4-6), 8:15 p.m. EDT (ESPN and fubo.TV)
At first glance, this looks like an awful Monday night game, and it might be that on the field.
But look a little closer, and this game is important. Both of these teams, while I don’t think are very good, have a chance to go on a run if they can get this game Monday. Look at their schedules: it could happen.
Will it? I am not so sure. But hey, without hope, what do we have?
Read more about this game in our Monday Night Football Best Bets & Odds guide.
NFL Betting Lines Week by Week Index
Check out our NFL Betting Lines provided by proven experts. See their success rates and what lies ahead in the future.
